New York Red Bulls
- New York Red Bulls have won three of their last five games.
- New York Red Bulls have the superior recent form and have the home advantage when they take on Toronto FC in the MLS 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium, USA, on Saturday.
- 16th placed New York Red Bulls are on 36 points after 28 games, while Toronto FC are 23rd with 32 points from the same number of matches.
- The hosts are coming off a 0-3 home loss to St. Louis City and a 4-1 home win over San Diego FC, so the form book certainly indicates they have punch and the ability to beat Toronto FC.
- But they also have volatility and the potential for a collapse, which is why Toronto might be worth a shot on the double chance here.
Toronto FC
- Toronto FC have won two and lost three of their last five matches.
- Toronto FC's away form is the biggest concern for the Reds, however.
- Robin Fraser's men have won just two, drawn three and lost eight of their 13 away games in MLS 2026.
- Toronto FC have scored an average of 0.77 goals away from home in MLS 2026.
Recent Meetings
The last MLS 2026 meetings finished as one win and two draws to the Red Bulls, but Toronto have a shape-shifting way about them that can keep this close.
Influencers to watch
- Toronto, who are coached by Fraser since 10 January 2025, play a more controlled style with a back three or four and press selectively when they can.
- Julian Hall, with ten goals in 25 MLS 2026 appearances, is the most likely spark for the Red Bulls as he has scored two of their six goals in the last four games.
- Daniel Salloi, with seven goals in 27 MLS 2026 matches, is the Reds' best bet for a breakthrough.
Odds & markets
Odds of 2.12 for the hosts look fair enough, but Toronto are worth a look at 2.9 and the draw at 3.95 looks good, too.
Final thought
Both teams to score looks live at 1.36 and the over 2.5 goals at 1.4 matches the Red Bulls' home numbers, but I'll go with the visitors to keep it interesting on this occasion.