Necaxa (home)
- The hosts, while dangerous in patches, are the underdogs with odds of 4.37 to Chivas’ 1.69 because of the difference in form and the gap between the sides in the league table.
- Necaxa have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five Clausura fixtures, so their form is mixed.
- But the home team can cause the league leaders some problems with their home field advantage and the fact they were good enough to beat Chivas 3-2 on their own turf back in January 2025.
Chivas (away)
- Chivas sit top of the Clausura 2026 table with 31 points from 14 games (W10, L3) while Necaxa are mid-table with 17 from 15.
- Milito has done a brilliant job at Chivas, turning the team into a high-intensity, front-foot outfit that plays a fluid 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 with a high, intense press and a real willingness to play vertical football.
- But Chivas have more overall quality and their superior squad depth should see them get the win on Thursday.
Head-to-Head
Chivas have edged Necaxa 3-2 in wins over their last five Liga MX meetings, but Necaxa won a five-goal thriller at home 3-2 in January 2025.
Key Players
- Armando ‘La Hormiga’ González has been on a goalscoring spree of late and the striker has hit double figures for the season to make him the most prolific forward in the Clausura.
- Javier Ruiz has been their best player and top scorer this campaign and his creative midfield play has been crucial in getting Necaxa back into contention for the Liguilla.
Betting Insights
- The hosts are underdogs at 4.37 with Chivas at 1.69 because of form and the league gap.
- A bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.62 is recommended for this encounter as, with an in-form striker in the house, Chivas will always be a goal threat.
Prediction
- But Chivas have more overall quality and their superior squad depth should see them get the win on Thursday.
- Expect over 2.5 goals given Chivas’ attacking threat and Necaxa’s mixed defensive form.
