STVV (home)
- The home team are unbeaten at home across all competitions this season (W1, D1) and have scored 4 goals in their last 2 home games.
- K. Sint-Truidense have made a solid start to the season, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 3 of their 10 matches across all competitions, but Saturday's hosts arrive off the back of a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Helmond Sport.
- This should be an interesting matchup of styles as De Meyer has kept continuity with the way this side played last season, which will be based on probing the half-spaces with their narrow back three, either playing in a 3-5-2 or 3-4-2-1, with the wing-backs overloading in attack and the team well drilled in their patterns of play.
Lommel (away)
- Lommel have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, so the form lines are nearly identical.
- Lommel's results over the last few games (W2, D1, L2) are a little more mixed, however.
- A 5-1 defeat away to Oud-Heverlee Leuven and a 4-0 hammering at home to ADO Den Haag over the past two weeks have exposed some cracks in this team.
- Johnson has done well with this Lommel team since taking over on 1st July 2025 and they are built on an organised press and fast transitions, rather than chaos.
- Lommel's preferred formation is a flat 4-4-2, but they like to stay compact, in two banks, and are dangerous in transition when they win the ball back.
- Lommel have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their 6 away matches in all competitions, but they've conceded 12 goals on their travels.
Betting Insights
- STVV are 1.62 favorites for Saturday's game, while Lommel are 5.1.
- Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 and Both Teams to Score - No at 1.85 are the selections.
Prediction
I'm leaning towards the hosts to nick it at the end of the day.
