Select Odds Display Type
  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Hamburger SV logo
0 - 5
Full-Time
1. FSV Mainz 05 logo
Bundesliga
Germany
/
Bundesliga
/
Volksparkstadion

vs
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Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.80
    1X2
    Hamburger SV
    Lost
    Explanation
    • In their last meeting at Hamburger SV's ground, Hamburger SV won 4-0, showing clear home edge.
    • Across Hamburger SV's last 5 matches they have two wins (3-0, 2-1), showing positive recent form.
    • This season when at home Hamburger SV has conceded 0 goals (0.0 avg), backing a strong home defence.
  • Tipped at
    1.79
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Across Hamburger SV's last 5 matches games averaged 3.0 total goals, with three matches of 3+ goals.
    • In 1. FSV Mainz 05's last 5 matches the games averaged 4.4 goals, including a 9-0 and a 3-3 draw.
    • Their two recent head-to-heads produced 5 goals combined, including a 4-0 at Hamburger SV's stadium.
  • Tipped at
    1.58
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Across Hamburger SV's last 5 matches both teams scored in 3 of 5 games (60%), showing they concede and score.
    • In 1. FSV Mainz 05's recent five games both sides scored in 3 of 5 matches, including a 2-1 and a 3-3.
    • Their most recent meeting ended 1-1 away to 1. FSV Mainz 05, demonstrating both teams can score head-to-head.

Predictions

Hamburger SV

  • Hamburger SV have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games in all competitions.
  • Hamburg (14th, 0 points after 1 game) are already under a bit of pressure ahead of this match, and their form has been a mixed bag of good performances and results.
  • The Red Shorts did cruise to a 0-3 victory on the road against SC Verl in the DFB Pokal 2026/2027, but followed that up with a 2-0 defeat away to Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga 2026/2027.
  • Merlin Polzin has brought a high-tempo style to the club since his appointment as head coach on 25 November 2024, with an aggressive pressing team that plays an intense, direct, 3-4-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation.

Mainz

  • Mainz (10th, 1 point after 1 match) have made a steadier start to the season, and while they followed up their 0-9 thrashing of VfB 1921 Krieschow in the DFB Pokal 2026/2027 with a 0-0 draw at home to SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga 2026/2027, the 05ers are still unbeaten in their last five.
  • The 05ers, on the other hand, take a calmer and more controlled approach to the beautiful game under Urs Fischer, who took charge on 7 December 2025.
  • Mainz usually line up in a back three with wing-backs, which allows them to counter-press their opponents when out of possession.

Head-to-Head

In terms of the head-to-head record, Hamburg have the slight edge with one win and one draw from their last two meetings with Mainz, who have won none.


Key Players

Both sides will create chances, but Mainz have the sharper end product in Sheraldo Becker, who has three goals from Mainz's last five matches.


Betting Insights

  • However, Mainz have won their most recent road match (Won 1, lost 0), and that slight positive momentum for the 05ers makes us favour them at 2.4.
  • Hamburger SV are favored at 2.68 and the tie is 3.55.
  • Both teams to score, at 1.53, will be the main selection for the game, while over 2.5 goals will be the top pick in the goals market at 1.65.

Prediction

Hamburg have won none of their last two at home (Drawn 1, lost 1) and Mainz have won their most recent game on the road (Won 1, lost 0) so the visitors should have the momentum to nick it on the day.

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Bundesliga Predictions

11 SEPT FRIDAY

12 SEPT SATURDAY

13 SEPT SUNDAY

FAQ

  • Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Hamburger SV have tallied 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses. In the same span, 1. FSV Mainz 05 have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 fixture?

    During the last Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 encounter, the goals came from Sheraldo Becker, Philipp Mwene, Phillip Tietz, Ransford Königsdörffer.

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