FC Cajamarca (home)
- FC Cajamarca’s form has been mixed lately (W3, D1, L1) but they have won their last two home games, including a 3-1 victory over Sporting Cristal.
- FC Cajamarca have a strong home record in the Liga 1 - Apertura (W3, D2, L2) but have conceded 12 goals in 7 home games and should be severely tested by Alianza Lima’s red-hot frontline on Sunday.
Alianza Lima (away)
- Alianza Lima are the clear favorites to win Sunday’s matchup and are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (W4, D1).
- Pablo Guede’s side are very hard to beat and are unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 4 wins and a draw, including each of their last 2 away games.
- Guede has turned Alianza Lima into a front-foot team that presses hard and creates lots of chances through the constant rotations of their three-man front line.
FC Cajamarca
Hernan Barcos has been their talisman again this year with 9 goals in 16 Liga 1 - Apertura matches, but Brandon Palacios is in particularly fine form with 4 goals in his last 5 appearances.
Alianza Lima
Eryc Castillo is in superb form for them, having scored 9 goals in 15 Liga 1 - Apertura games, 3 of which have come in his last 5 outings.
Betting Insights
- Alianza Lima’s odds of 1.88 to win this matchup appear a little short, but given the form of both sides and the league table, the visitors are undoubtedly the most likely winners.
- The odds of 2.17 about the total score being over 2.5 goals seems about fair considering Alianza Lima’s scoring average and the fact that Eryc Castillo is in superb form for them, having scored 9 goals in 15 Liga 1 - Apertura games, 3 of which have come in his last 5 outings.
Prediction
- A matchup of an insistent, high-pressing side against a compact, reactive team with a target forward and a penchant for fast transitions should be an interesting tactical battle.
- FC Cajamarca will create chances on the counter-attack, but Alianza Lima are so defensively disciplined that the hosts may not get many opportunities to score, so the visitors look likely to prevail.
