- Both teams have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches, with Leiria picking up a 1-0 away victory in the Taca de Portugal in between.
- Sunday’s Liga Segunda 2025-2026 clash between Farense (9th, 19 points from 14 games) and Uniao de Leiria (7th, 20 points from 14 matches) is too close to call, with form guides, statistics and the differing tactical approaches of both sides all pointing towards a closely fought match between two promotion-seeking clubs.
Farense (home)
- Tozé Marreco’s free-flowing, front-foot approach has made Farense one of the most direct and intense sides in Liga Segunda since he took over in September 2024.
- Farense beat Vizela 2-0 at home, but then suffered a heavy 3-0 loss away to Academico Viseu in their last league fixture.
- Farense have won 2 of their last 2 home games in all competitions.
Uniao de Leiria (away)
- Leiria, meanwhile, have evolved under Fábio Pereira since he arrived in June 2025, gradually moving from a patient, possession-based approach to a more direct, transition-based system with two strikers up front.
- Leiria bounced back from successive defeats in the league by beating Vila Mea 1-0 away in the cup, while their form on the road in all competitions has been relatively consistent with two wins and a loss from their last three.
Key Players
- Marreco’s team have some real pace and power in the forward areas, with Claudio Falcao their leading scorer from midfield with three goals.
- Pereira’s men have a real predator up top in Juan Munoz, whose six league goals are the highest total for the club.
Betting Insights
- Farense are slight favorites at 2.24, with Uniao de Leiria available at 3.0 and the draw at 3.2.
- Backing either team in the match result markets this Sunday carries some risk, so we’re going to pass on those markets and look elsewhere for value.
- The odds-on BTTS market represents a good alternative bet at 1.7, given the direct, high-tempo styles of both teams, the recent results and the fact that Leiria are a team in transition.
- Leiria have two wins, three draws and two defeats from their seven league away games this season, scoring 1.00 goals per match on average.
Prediction
The clash of Farense’s relentless pressing game and Leiria’s new-found balance should make for a tactical chess match, and with both sides capable of hurting each other on the counter, we’re backing the hosts to just shade what could be an exciting game.
