Guingamp
- Guingamp have lost four and drawn one of their last five Ligue 2 games, falling to 11th in the table.
- The En Avant coach has rebuilt his team’s identity as a possession-based side that controls the tempo and builds attacks through the midfield, with a structured defensive line and smart trigger points for the pressing game.
- They are still stuck in mid-table obscurity, sitting 11th with 40 points from 32 games, but Guingamp have at least been consistent and they are hard to beat at home, where they have won six, drawn five and lost five, conceding 21 goals in 16 league outings.
SC Bastia
- SC Bastia have won just one of their 16 Ligue 2 away games in the current campaign, drawing eight and losing seven.
- At the other end of the table, SC Bastia are in poor form and in trouble near the bottom of Ligue 2 in 17th place with just 25 points from their 32 matches.
- Ray, who has made Bastia tough to play through since his appointment in November, has built a team around a compact defensive block that looks to catch opponents on the counter and create goalmouth opportunities through set pieces.
Head-to-Head
The visit to Guingamp will be tough for Bastia as they come off the back of a confidence-boosting 2-0 home win over Saint-Etienne, but Réginald Ray’s side remain winless in their last three away games and have a poor record against Guingamp in recent seasons.
Key Players
- Félix Tomi is Bastia’s leading goal scorer in Ligue 2 with just four goals in 32 appearances, so they don’t have the firepower to score enough against the better teams in the division.
- Louis Mafouta offers a similar threat for Guingamp but has 15 goals in 32 Ligue 2 games and has scored all four of his team’s goals in their last five league games.
Betting Insights
- Our main selection for this game, therefore, is a home win at 2.23 as the odds reflect Guingamp’s poor form while the visitors are buoyed by a win.
- But there is a strong chance of this being a high-scoring affair with the momentum and confidence at stake for both sides, so we are adding the over 2.5 goals at 1.92 and both teams to score at 1.71.
Prediction
Guingamp have failed to win the last two home matches against Bastia and this will be tricky, but we are backing the home side to break that streak.
