Derby County
- Derby County's recent form reads won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 in their last 5 matches in all competitions.
- The Rams are stuck fast at 22nd place in the Championship 2026/2027 table with just five points from eight games and they're under real pressure at the wrong end of the table.
- John Eustace has set up his side to be compact and pragmatic, with enough numbers back to protect the central areas, while trying to catch their opponents off guard on the break.
- Derby County have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their home games this season, scoring just 0.75 and conceding 2.00 at Pride Park.
Wrexham
- Wrexham have been in better form overall, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 of their last 5 games in all competitions.
- Phil Parkinson's Wrexham are a direct side who play as a unit, relying on counter-attacks, crosses from wide areas and set plays to do their work, rather than lengthy periods of possession.
- The Red Dragons sit 14th in the table with 10 points from their first eight games, which is arguably a better starting point than Derby but it's not enough for Parkinson to get too complacent, given they face a must-win game every weekend.
- Wrexham will have been delighted to bounce back from a 1-1 home draw with Burnley and a 6-0 thrashing at West Ham United by beating a decent Southampton side 2-1 in the Welsh club's home game.
- They've been much better away from home than at home this term, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 on their travels in the Championship 2026/2027, scoring 1.00 goal on average.
Head-to-Head
Wrexham's 2-1 away win in the last head-to-head and the fact that Derby haven't won any of their 4 Championship 2026/2027 home games is why we're giving a slight edge to Wrexham , although the odds of 2.6 suggest this will be a close match at the right end of the Championship 2026/2027.
Derby County
Eustace's side have failed to show any consistency in terms of scoring goals and Bobby Clark's 2 goals from 8 Championship 2026/2027 games represents their sharpest attacking edge in the division.
Wrexham
Kieffer Moore has 3 goals from his 8 Championship 2026/2027 games to top score for Wrexham and his aerial presence will be crucial to the visitors' chances of troubling the hosts.
Betting Insights
Both sides are too close to call in the betting so we're going with Under 2.5 goals at 1.8 and Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.75 , which is our belief that the game will be cagey but both sides can nick it at some point.
Prediction
- Wrexham's recent away win in the last head-to-head and Derby's poor home record give a slight edge to Wrexham, although this match looks tight and could be decided by fine margins.
- Expect a cagey encounter with limited chances; our recommended bets are Under 2.5 goals at 1.8 and Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.75, reflecting a close game where both sides can find the net.