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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Derby County logo
1 - 2
Full-Time
Birmingham City logo
Championship
England
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Championship
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Pride Park

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Derby County vs Birmingham City Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.20
    1X2
    Birmingham City
    Won
    Explanation
    • Birmingham City is unbeaten this season with 0 losses and 7 points, showing clear consistency this campaign.
    • Birmingham City has conceded just 1 goal away (0.5 avg) in away matches, making them hard to break down on the road.
    • Derby County concedes 2.5 goals per home match (5 conceded at home), so Birmingham City's solidity gives them the edge.
  • Tipped at
    1.79
    Over/Under
    Under 2.5
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Their two recent head-to-heads produced 1 and 2 total goals, with both matches under 2.5 goals.
    • Birmingham City's away fixtures show a total of 3 goals (1.5 avg) when playing away, pointing to lower-scoring games.
    • Derby County's matches see both teams score in only 40% of cases this season, increasing chances of a low total.
  • Tipped at
    1.97
    Both Teams To Score
    No
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Derby County's matches have resulted in both teams scoring in just 40% of games this season, favoring a shutout.
    • Birmingham City records BTTS in 50% of their away matches, a modest rate that supports a no-BTTS outcome here.
    • In their two recent meetings only one match had both teams score (1-1), a 50% H2H BTTS rate that leans no.

Predictions

Derby (home)

  • The Rams are in more trouble than their Birmingham visitors after taking just four points from their opening five Championship 2026/2027 matches to sit in 20th.
  • Derby were thumped 3-0 at home by Swansea City before the international break, but responded well to that defeat with a 2-0 win away to Portsmouth.
  • Derby have failed to win at home in the Championship 2026/2027 (D1, L1) and have scored just 2 goals.

Birmingham (away)

  • Birmingham City have been solid enough in the Championship 2026/2027 to remain in the chasing group of teams, but 7 points from their first five games is still too few and too soon to put any true significance on their current standing in 10th.
  • The Blues have one win, three draws and a defeat from their last five Championship games and have shown promise on the road, where they have gone unbeaten in two trips in the Championship 2026/2027.
  • Birmingham have gone undefeated in the Championship 2026/2027 on the road (W1, D1) and are averaging 1.00 away goals per game.

Head-to-Head

Derby won 1-0 when these two sides met in the Championship 2025/2026 and the Rams have not lost their last home game against the Blues, but Birmingham's unbeaten away start to the season is good enough reason to favor them in this clash at Pride Park.


Key Players

  • Bobby Clark has been a spark at the top of the field for the Rams in 2026/2027, providing two assists in five Championship 2026/2027 appearances, but they have lacked a reliable goalscorer so far with Sammie Szmodics the best bet with two in four.
  • Phil Neumann has two of Birmingham's six goals in five Championship 2026/2027, but Demarai Gray has been lively.

Betting Insights

  • Birmingham are the narrow betting favorites (2.18), but the draw (3.4) looks more attractive than Derby (3.15).
  • Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 looks a tidy angle if things get tense.

Prediction

We're going to go against the grain here to add another away point to their record.

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Championship Predictions

20 SEPT SUNDAY

FAQ

  • Derby County vs Birmingham City – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Derby County have tallied 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses. In the same span, Birmingham City have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Derby County vs Birmingham City fixture?

    During the last Derby County vs Birmingham City encounter, the goals came from Carlos Vicente, Bobby Clark, Paik Seung-ho.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Derby County and Birmingham City in this Championship 2026/2027 season?

    In the Championship 2026/2027, Bobby Clark leads the scoring for Derby County with 2 goals, while Carlos Vicente tops the charts for Birmingham City with 2 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Championship 2026/2027 season – Derby County or Birmingham City?

    The Championship 2026/2027’s best defence belongs to Birmingham City, who have shipped just 11 goals in 8 matches and kept 1 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.38.

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