Toluca
- Toluca are 2nd in the Liga MX 2026/2027 table with 20 points from 11 games, while San Luis are 15th with 12 points.
- Antonio Mohamed's men sit second in the 2026/2027 table, a whole eight points ahead of San Luis in 15th, so the league form also favours the home side going into Sunday's game at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
- Toluca's form heading into this fixture is mixed with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 in all competitions, so it is not as if they are in a 'hot streak' as the betting sites imply at a skinny 1.37.
- Toluca have conceded 1.60 goals per home game.
San Luis
- San Luis arrive in mixed form too with 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5 and look to have come unstuck in their latest outing at home to Santos Laguna.
- The Tuneros have shown some bite in their recent matches, however, with a 3-1 home victory over Necaxa following a 3-2 road win over Club Universidad Nacional prior to that reverse against the Santos.
- Diego Mejia's men like to press in numbers in the attacking third, win the ball high and try to dictate the tempo, which should make for a fascinating contrast with Toluca's more compact 4-2-3-1 and vertical game style.
Head-to-Head
Deportivo Toluca FC have won 4 of the last 5 Liga MX head-to-head meetings with Atletico de San Luis , with none for the Tuneros during that span, so the Diablos Rojos certainly have the edge in this fixture.
Key Players
- Alexis Vega has been a key player in Toluca's rise to 2nd in the Liga MX 2026/2027 with four goals in eight appearances, so keep an eye on the ex-Chivas Guadalajara livewire for a goal on Sunday.
- San Luis have a top striker in David Rodriguez, who has hit three Liga MX 2026/2027 goals, but Sebastien Lamonge has two goals in their last five and will look to get in behind the lines to make things happen for the visitors.
Betting Insights
- Toluca are rightful favorites to take the win, but San Luis's recent goalscoring form makes us think this game could get hot before the home team eventually pull away.
- An over 2.5 goals wager at 1.38 looks solid, while both teams to score at 1.57 is also attractive and is our main selection for this clash at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
Prediction
- Toluca are rightful favorites to take the win, but San Luis's recent goalscoring form makes us think this game could get hot before the home team eventually pull away.
- Our main call is both teams to score at 1.57, with an over 2.5 goals play at 1.38 a sensible secondary option given the Tuneros' recent attacking results and Toluca's tendency to concede at home.