Charlton Athletic

vs

Derby County

Preview

Charlton Athletic

• Charlton Athletic have won once, drawn twice and lost twice in their last five outings with back-to-back draws against Coventry City and Blackburn Rovers, while Derby have posted the same sequence after a 1-0 win at Middlesbrough and a 2-1 loss at Wrexham.
• The Addicks have won five, drawn three and lost three at home in the Championship so far, conceding 12 goals in 11 games at The Valley.
• Nathan Jones has done a good job at Charlton since his appointment in February 2024, creating a compact, disciplined unit that hits hard on the counterattack in a 4-2-3-1 system.

Derby County

• Derby have been solid enough on the road, winning five, drawing three and losing four in 12 away fixtures with a mean of 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded.
• John Eustace has done a solid job since taking the Rams’ helm in February 2025, making them flexible enough to play in a disciplined 4-2-3-1 or more expansive 3-5-2 formation.
• The common thread in both systems is patience, possession and control in midfield, while building up in an organised fashion.

Head-to-Head

• Derby drew the last meeting 1-1 at Pride Park three months ago while they have won two, drawn one and lost one of the last four.
• Charlton have failed to win their last home fixture against Derby County at The Valley and it could be a psychological barrier they cannot overcome.

Key Players

• Derby’s Carlton Morris has been in fine form for the Rams, netting 10 goals in 16 Championship appearances so far.
• But Charlie Kelman has scored three goals in Charlton’s last five, contributing to more than half of the goals they have scored in that time, so he is the man to watch here.

Betting Insights

• Backing under 2.5 goals at 1.5 is extremely tempting as the draw looks the most likely result at this stage.
• Charlton will fancy their chances of getting a result at odds of 2.5, but the 3.05 on Derby or 2.92 on the draw make more sense given the odds are so tight.

Prediction