CF Montreal (home)
- CF Montreal have won 2 of their last 5, drawn 2 and lost 1, with Prince Osei Owusu their most dangerous player, having scored 9 MLS 2026 goals, including 4 in the last 5.
- CF Montreal have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their 6 home matches in MLS 2026, averaging 1.67 goals scored per game and 1.17 goals conceded, and they look capable of taking the game to Toronto in spells on Thursday.
- Philippe Eullaffroy appears to have made them more compact and trap-oriented, sitting deeper and hitting opponents on the counter-attack.
Toronto FC (away)
- Toronto FC have lost 4 of their 5 MLS 2026 away games, conceding 2.20 goals per match away.
- Toronto FC are on a 4-game losing run, with their last two games ending in away defeats to Charlotte and Chicago Fire in MLS 2026.
- Toronto FC have been hard to watch for the majority of the season but they did show some fight in their previous games, and Robin Fraser appears to have found a formula for them in a structured 4-2-3-1 system which allows them to build up play in a controlled manner and press opponents with organisation.
Head-to-Head
- The head-to-head between the two teams is tight, with Toronto FC winning 1 of the 2 meetings between these Canadian neighbours and the other ending 1-1.
- CF Montreal have failed to beat TFC in their last 2 home games, but their home record this term is good enough for a home team in this clash and the contrasting styles of play should produce a chess game of sorts, with Montreal's transition power going up against Toronto's ball control and shape.
Key Players
- Prince Osei Owusu has been their biggest threat this term, scoring 9 goals in 14 MLS 2026 games and 4 in the last 5 matches.
- Daniel Salloi remains their main goal threat with 4 goals in 14 MLS 2026 outings and 2 in the last 5 games, with Emilio Aristizabal adding a further 2 during that same period.
Betting Insights
CF Montreal are the hosts and favourites at 2.04 , with Toronto FC set at 3.52 and the draw at 3.9 , which seems slightly overpriced considering Montreal's form is mixed while Toronto's is poor.
Prediction
A home win is the clear preference here, but the derby day atmosphere and Toronto's desperation to end their losing streak could make for a close and scrappy game, so an insurance bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.65 looks right, as both teams to score is live at 1.52 .
