Cagliari
- Cagliari are unbeaten in their last two home games (Won 1, Drawn 1).
- Cagliari have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches.
- Their home form has been patchy in Serie A, with two wins, three draws and three defeats from eight games this season, but there has been a recent uptick in resilience that gives hope they can get a result against Milan.
- Cagliari have a better chance of getting something here than the odds suggest because of their pressing game and the fact that they are more solid at home lately, coming off a 2-2 draw with Pisa and a 2-1 away win over Torino FC.
AC Milan
- AC Milan are unbeaten away in Serie A this season (Won 4, Drawn 3 of 7).
- Massimiliano Allegri has brought real discipline back to Milan’s defending since he took over as head coach in July 2025, while Fabio Pisacane has forged a young team with his Cagliari appointment in June of the same year.
- Pulisic is Milan’s best player and has scored eight goals in 11 Serie A appearances, including three of their last nine league goals.
- Their away defensive record is solid, with only five goals conceded in seven matches.
Head-to-Head
Cagliari are winless in the last two head-to-head meetings at their home and Milan have won just one of the three meetings overall, although a 3-3 draw here in Serie A a year ago was a classic.
Key Players
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Gennaro Borrelli leads Cagliari’s scoring charts with three goals in 16 Serie A games, while Christian Pulisic has been in red-hot form for Milan with eight in 11.
- Gennaro Borrelli
- Christian Pulisic
Betting Insights
- The odds for Milan to win at 1.54 are too short for a side that have lost two of their last three away matches, while Cagliari are 5.9 and the draw is 4.0.
- Their away defensive record is solid, with only five goals conceded in seven matches, and Cagliari have scored 1.25 goals per home game in Serie A while conceding 1.50 goals on average, which suggests 'Under 2.5 goals' at 1.85 is a good alternative bet.
- We’re going with the American to score anytime against a Cagliari defence that will be tested repeatedly by the Rossoneri’s superior quality in midfield and forward areas.
Prediction
- Taking Milan to avoid defeat away from home to Cagliari has to be the way to go, even if Allegri’s side have been guilty of lapses in concentration recently.
- Christian Pulisic to score anytime is the main play.
