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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
Burnley logo
1 - 1
Full-Time
Derby County logo
Championship
England
/
Championship
/
Turf Moor

vs
Preview

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Burnley vs Derby County Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    1.83
    1X2
    Burnley
    Lost
    Explanation
    • Burnley beat Derby County at home in their last meeting, winning 2-1 and showing a home edge.
    • Derby County lost 4 of their last 5 matches across their last 5 matches, scoring just 3 goals total.
    • Burnley averages 1.33 goals at home (4 home goals) while Derby County concedes 1.67 when away (5 conceded).
  • Tipped at
    1.93
    Over/Under
    Under 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • Their last three head-to-heads produced just 3 goals total (two 0-0 draws and a 2-1), averaging 1.0 goals.
    • Derby County scores only 0.86 goals per match in the Championship this season, limiting likely totals.
    • Matches with Derby County this season have seen both teams score in only 42.86% of games, pointing to quieter affairs.
  • Tipped at
    1.71
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches involving Burnley have seen both teams score in 100.0% of cases, and 100.0% at home this season.
    • In their last 5 matches, Burnley both scored and conceded in all five games, showing consistent BTTS form.
    • Burnley averages 1.14 scored and 2.29 conceded this season, meaning both sides tend to find the net.

Predictions

Burnley

Burnley are 0-2-1 from 3 home games in the Championship 2026-2027.


Derby County

  • Derby County are 1-0-2 from 3 away games in the Championship 2026-2027.
  • Derby County have lost their past three games after a 3-0 away defeat at West Ham United, a 0-1 home loss to West Bromwich Albion and a 1-2 home defeat to Birmingham City, so the momentum is certainly sliding in the wrong way.

Key Players

  • Nicky Hayen has his Clarets set up to keep the ball, press with purpose, and they can be flexible in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation.
  • Zian Flemming has been their danger man so far in the Championship 2026/2027 with two goals in two games, but he needs the service between the lines to be at his most effective.
    • two goals in two games
  • John Eustace has Derby County well organised and pragmatic.
  • They sit in a narrow 4-4-2 base with a clear low-block game plan.
  • Clark has been Derby's most creative player with two assists in the Championship 2026/2027, although he has also scored two of their goals.
    • two assists
    • two goals scored

Betting Insights

Burnley are the slight favorites for Saturday's Championship clash with Derby County at Turf Moor, and it's easy to see why at 1.81 , but the Rams can be a threat at 4.2 .


Prediction

We'll take the Clarets to get the job done in this tense encounter, but Derby will make it close and the under 2.5 goals at 1.95 bet should land in a cagey affair.

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FAQ

  • Burnley vs Derby County – Which team has the stronger record over their last 5 matches?

    Over their last 5 matches, Burnley have tallied 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. In the same span, Derby County have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats.

  • Who got on the scoresheet in the most recent Burnley vs Derby County fixture?

    During the last Burnley vs Derby County encounter, the goals came from Mohammed Fuseini, Mohamed Amdouni.

  • Who are the leading goal-getters for Burnley and Derby County in this Championship 2026/2027 season?

    In the Championship 2026/2027, Zeki Amdouni leads the scoring for Burnley with 2 goals, while Bobby Clark tops the charts for Derby County with 2 goals.

  • Who leads defensively this Championship 2026/2027 season – Burnley or Derby County?

    The Championship 2026/2027’s best defence belongs to Derby County, who have shipped just 14 goals in 8 matches and kept 1 clean sheets. Their average goals conceded per game stands at only 1.75.

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