Burnley
- Burnley have failed to win any of their four home Championship 2026/2027 fixtures to date (D3, L1).
- Burnley are winless in four home games under Nicky Hayen, who was appointed in July 2026.
- Burnley have averaged 1.25 goals per home game in the Championship 2026/2027 (5 goals in total).
Charlton Athletic
- Charlton Athletic have won only one of their first four Championship 2026/2027 away fixtures (W1, D1, L2).
- Charlton Athletic have averaged 1.00 per road game (4 goals in total).
- Charlton Athletic are enjoying a decent start to the campaign and occupy 9th spot with 12 points from eight games, but the Addicks are also winless in five (D3, L2).
- Their last three games have seen a 0-0 home draw with QPR, a 0-0 home draw with Portsmouth, and a 3-1 defeat at Cardiff City.
Key Players
- Hayen has brought a possession-first approach and progressive style of play to Turf Moor, where the Clarets press purposefully and, when they win it back high up the pitch, look to get forward at pace.
- They will certainly have more of the ball in this game and can test Charlton's structure, which Nathan Jones, who took charge in February 2024, has built around the shape of the game, scenarios and set pieces.
- Zeki Amdouni is the main goal threat for Burnley, who will need to make the difference in this match.
- Amdouni is the club's top scorer for the Championship 2026/2027 with two goals and has scored two of Burnley's last five.
- Tyreece Campbell has been Charlton's danger man so far with four Championship 2026/2027 goals, including two of their last five.
Betting Insights
- Burnley are the clear favorites here at 1.71, with Charlton Athletic priced at 4.57 and the draw at 3.75, but the Clarets have been hard to back because of their run of draws in the Championship 2026/2027.
- Burnley should have the bulk of possession given their style, which can test Charlton's organised shape and set-piece focus.
- Charlton will look to counter quickly on the break and are a constant threat on set pieces, so the Addicks can hurt the hosts if Burnley overcommit in possession.
- We are going to add the under 3.5 goals option to our Burnley win bet for a bit of security in a game that shouldn't be that open.
Prediction
- Burnley should have enough to win this, but their draw-heavy start to the season suggests this could still be close.
- Burnley are favourites at 1.71, yet their run of home draws and Charlton's set-piece threat mean a tight affair is likely.
- Charlton can be dangerous on the break and from dead-ball situations, which increases the chance of a low-scoring, competitive match.
- Our lean: Burnley win with the under 3.5 goals safeguard added for a game that may not be especially open.