Brighton (home)
- Brighton ended a poor run in all competitions when they recorded a much-needed 2-0 away win against Brentford on Thursday.
- Brighton have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five Premier League matches but are 2.1 favorites to beat Forest at home on Sunday, who are 3.35.
- The draw is 3.5 and that’s probably where the value lies in this matchup with Brighton having failed to win either of their last two home games (1 draw, 1 defeat).
- There has been a new manager on the south coast since June 2024 and Fabian Hurzeler has brought with him a new high-tempo, pressing style of soccer that has seen Brighton play in a possession-based manner with rapid transitions and a fluid front-line.
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Recent home stats:
- Brighton have conceded only 14 goals in 13 home matches this season.
- Brighton have won 5, drawn 6 and lost only 2 of their 13 home league games this season.
Forest (away)
- Forest have lost 7 of their 13 away games in the Premier League season, conceding 20 goals.
- Forest won 3-0 away at Fenerbahce in the Europa League on Thursday but slipped to a 1-0 home defeat against Liverpool in their last Premier League game.
- Forest have played in a more measured way under Vitor Pereira, building from the back with a back-three system that allows for fluidity and some structure.
- The Seagulls are the stronger side, but Forest are a completely different proposition since Pereira took charge and should be a lot more organized on the field.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 meetings , this fixture has been a true rivalry with 2 wins apiece and 1 draw , with both sides averaging 2.0 goals per game when Brighton have hosted - Brighton won 2-0 at Forest two months ago .
Betting Insights
- Brighton2.1, Forest3.35, draw 3.5.
- Both teams to score at 1.67 looks a good price.
- Over 2.5 goals at 1.83 is also very tempting.
Prediction
We’re expecting an open game as both teams have a go here, so both teams to score at 1.67 looks a good price and over 2.5 goals at 1.83 is also very tempting.
