Borussia Dortmund
- Borussia Dortmund are second in the Bundesliga 2025-2026 table, with 64 points from 30 games.
- Borussia Dortmund have won 11 of their 15 home games in the Bundesliga 2025-2026, conceding just 14 goals at home.
- Dortmund have won two of their last three home games, but were beaten by Bayer Leverkusen in their most recent match at Signal Iduna Park.
- Niko Kovac has overseen a transformation in Dortmund since he took charge in February 2025, establishing a strong and compact back three, transitioning in numbers and moving the ball forward with devastating efficiency through their wing-backs and attackers.
- Dortmund are an extremely vertical team, operating in either a 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-3, which are both dependent on the players holding their positions and being disciplined in their transitions.
- Serhou Guirassy is the focal point of Dortmund’s attacking play and the striker has 14 goals in the Bundesliga 2025-2026 in 29 games.
SC Freiburg
- SC Freiburg are seventh in the Bundesliga 2025-2026, with 43 points from 30 matches.
- SC Freiburg will arrive in Dortmund in good form, having secured back-to-back wins away at Mainz (Bundesliga) and Celta de Vigo (Europa League), but their away record in the Bundesliga 2025-2026 is less convincing.
- Freiburg alternate between a 4-2-3-1 and a narrow 3-4-3, focusing on positional discipline, energy and work-rate in pressing from all over the field.
- Igor Matanovic is Freiburg’s main goal threat, with 8 Bundesliga goals in 27 matches, and the striker is lethal on the counter, where Freiburg are most likely to create chances on Sunday.
Head-to-Head
- The last meeting between these two sides finished 1-1 at Europa-Park Stadion.
- Freiburg haven’t won at Dortmund in their last two attempts, and Borussia have won four and drawn one of the last five Bundesliga head-to-head meetings.
- Freiburg have won four and drawn three of their 15 away games in the Bundesliga 2025-2026, scoring just 16 times.
Key Players
- Serhou Guirassy
- The striker has 14 goals in the Bundesliga 2025-2026 in 29 games.
- Igor Matanovic
- The striker has 8 Bundesliga goals in 27 matches and is a primary counter-attacking threat.
Betting Insights
- Borussia Dortmund are 1.46 to win this game.
- Both Teams to Score - No is priced at 2.03 and Over 2.5 goals is 1.51.
- I expect goals in this game, but I’m going for Dortmund’s defence to keep Freiburg at bay.
Prediction
- It will be an intriguing clash between Dortmund’s vertical structure and Freiburg’s collective work-rate.
- I’m backing Dortmund to edge this at home while keeping a tight defence.
